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Allendale sees smaller crop in September

The corn market got a jolt Friday when analytical firm Informa Economics said the average U.S. corn yield could drop to 158.5 bushels per acre, well below USDA's current forecast of 165.0 and many trade estimates in the 160s.
John Hawkins 
Published: Sep 3, 2010
The Allendale Inc. 2010, 21st Annual Crop Survey suggests a projected US corn crop of 13.147 billion bushels and a soybean crop of 3.370 billion bushels. This estimate was based on producer calculated yields in 25 states. It was conducted from August 9 until August 27, 2010.

The survey estimated U.S. corn production at 13.147 billion bushels with an average yield of 162.3 bushels.  Soybeans were estimated at 3.37 billion bushels with an average yield of 43.2 bushels per acre.

Earlier this week, the Linn Group estimated the average U.S. corn yield at 160.7 bpa and soybeans at 43.6 bpa.  Last month, USDA estimate the national corn yield at 165 bpa and soybeans at 44 bpa.

USDA will update its production estimates on Friday, Sept. 10 at 7:30 am CDT. 

Early harvest getting started

“Most farmers were just getting started but the rain slowed things down,” said Tom Ritter, a FarmWeek Cropwatcher from Macon County.

John Brink, a farmer from Washington County, said many of the farmers who got an early start on corn harvest were those who have on-farm storage and drying units.

“After Labor Day is when (harvest) really will start in earnest in my area,” Brink said.

Moisture levels reportedly have declined to the point where more combines are expected to roll. As of last week corn moisture readings were 20 percent or below in Brink’s area and ranged from 18 to 22 percent in Ritter’s area.

“As far as moisture, the crop is considerably drier than it was in mid-October or the first of November last year,” Ritter said.

The corn crop is drying down quicker this year due to early planting in some areas while other fields simply died early due to a combination of too much early moisture, compaction issues, shallow root systems, and then a lack of moisture and high heat and humidity last month, according to Kevin Black, GROWMARK insect/plant disease technical manager.

“We’ve got everything from corn that will finish normally to corn that just died,” Black said. “Anything that died prematurely is at risk of lower yields and test weights.”

We have audio of Macon County cropwatcher Tom Ritter, plus a link to the latest Cropwatcher reports.


Cropwatchers



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